9.13.2007

Looking Forward at Pfizer

Looking Forward at Pfizer: "Pfizer ... gave little information on how it would compensate for the up to $19 billion in annualized product sales from drugs such as Lipitor, Viagra, and schizophrenia treatment Geodon, which will be facing generic competition by 2014. ...

As Pfizer stated during the Bear Stearns presentation, "due to changing markets and political environments" (i.e. governments throughout the world less concerned about intellectual property rights and reimbursement for me-too follow-on drugs), the trend to combat lost patent exclusivity will focus on developing biologic compounds that are significantly harder to copy (make generically) than their small-molecule counterparts.

The movement toward development of biologics is why AstraZeneca acquired MedImmune for $15 billion earlier in the year and why Pfizer is beefing up its pipeline with 25 biopharmaceutical compounds in preclinical or later stages, and another 40 in discovery. As Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN) has shown with Epogen, that good complex biologic can provide years of generic-free blockbuster sales even after expiration of its key patents."